On the inherent predictability of precipitation across the United States
This study investigates the spatial distribution of predictability of daily precipitation across the USA. The emphasis is on determining the rate of increase in predictability with spatio-temporal averaging, by defining three predictability statistics (maximum predictability, predictive error, and predictive instability) based on the nonlinear finite-time Lyapunov exponent.
Dhanya, C.T., and G. Villarini, On the inherent predictability of precipitation across the United States, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 133, 1035-1050, 2018.