The state of Iowa in the US Midwest is regularly affected by major floods and has seen a notable increase in agricultural land cover over the twentieth century. We present a novel statistical-dynamical approach for probabilistic seasonal streamflow forecasting using land cover and General Circulation Model (GCM) precipitation forecasts.

Slater, L.J., G. Villarini, A.A. Bradley, and G.A. Vecchi, A dynamical statistical framework for seasonal streamflow forecasting in an agricultural watershed, Climate Dynamics, 2019 (in press).